Rhinocrisy

Cue triumphant return music.

I haven’t talked about oil in a while, mostly because ever since the ol’ economy took a big shit and died it hasn’t been a big issue - oil consumption drops with other kinds of consumption (fewer trucks delivering goods, fewer people driving and flying around, fewer people heating their pools with a hundred curling irons, etc.), so things have been pretty slow for the past few years. Snazzy graph from EIA:

Nevertheless, though things have slowed, that doesn’t mean our wild-eyed blubberings about peak oil are now completely mitigated. Quite the contrary; the problem was quite real, and remains. I read the other day that when OPEC recently trimmed their output in order to encourage the oil price back up around $100/bbl after it collapsed down to the $40s, the level they ratcheted down to was still an incredible 97% of capacity, leaving a whopping 3% margin of spare capacity - at the low end of productivity.

So we should be expecting news like we got last week from the US military, which announced that it expects a major shortfall in oil production in the next two years, and a serious crisis by 2015. By then, they expect a shortfall of 10 million barrels a day - that is, something like 12% of global oil consumption. As an exercise, just try to imagine the effect this will have on the price of oil.^*

We’ll pause to note the irony in the US military - the largest single consumer of oil in the world, at about 400,000 bbl/day - making this announcement. They haven’t announced exactly what they’re going to do about it. Maybe if we fought a couple of more wars it would help. Fortunately, it seems like the economy is going to be lying in the shitter and weeping for a bit longer, which might buy us some time.

In the meanwhile, to make up the shortfall, I advocate going back to doing what we were doing before: sending teams of ferocious, hook-wielding men in boats to kill thousands of whales for their oil-rich blubber. I’ve already done my part by canceling my contributions to Greenpeace.

^* Put a few hill giants and evil wizards into your scenario for good measure, just to spice it up.

Yes, the world does hate you. Both the developing and developed world.

Your government won’t get you out of the hole you’re in. You need to do it yourselves. Take to the streets, damnit! Make it known, LOUDLY, that you disagree with past and current policy. Let the average Iraqi know that there are right-minded people in your country, people who do not condone such barbaric behaviour. Let them know you’re not a nation of airheads fed on a diet of inane TV and biased reporting, glorying in the destruction you wreak on weaker nations. Do it for children otherwise they’ll be the ones being shot at next.

Do something, for God’s sake!

– Angela, Athens, Greece April 6th, 2010

I agree. We need to stop this war.

This is the video of the year. Spread it:

Via Matt Taibbi.

This kid has just discovered a candy store, one I’ve been wishing for since I came to San Francisco: digital newspaper archives, going back to 1869, of the San Francisco Chronicle.^* Here’s a piece of flavor, a quote from William Coleman, head of the second Vigilance Committee. If you’re unfamiliar, the Vigilance committees were fascinating bits of early San Francisco history, spontaneous, but extremely well-organized and orderly, expressions of public wrath against corruption and criminality. In this case, the group that Coleman spoke for formed to deal with one James Casey, a felon and apparently low character elected to the position of district supervisor. Casey responded to allegations of ballot-stuffing (and other criminality) by newspaper editor James King by waiting for King and shooting him in the chest. He then surrendered himself, confident of the protection of the authorities. Unfortunately for him, the vigilance committee speedily formed (with two thousand men swearing the oath), and in a matter of days “encouraged” the sheriff to give up Casey, tried him, and hanged him. Quoting Coleman:

Who made the laws and set agents over them? The people.
Who saw those laws neglected, disregarded, abused, trampled on? The people.
Who had the right to protect those laws and administer where their servants had failed? The people.
The people are the power; it is theirs by birthright, and when they delegate it, it is expressed and implied that upon wrongdoing the servants shall be pushed aside, formally or informally, and their places promptly filled by other and better agencies.

Enough to make any anarchist teary-eyed.